Wednesday, March 29, 2017

Memo on North Korea


320 Washington St.
Easton, MA 02357
                                                                                                                                    
23 Mar 2017


From:
Orlando Manfredi 
Reply to
Attn of:
Orlando Manfredi

To:
Secretary of State Rex Tillerson,
Thru:
(1) The State Department 
Subj:
ROADMAP FOR FUTURE NORTH KOREA RELATIONS 
     

1.     The current foreign policy strategy with regards to the Kim regime in North Korea needs to be re-evaluated and strengthen to reduce the capability of the North Korean nuclear program, provide aid to the oppressed North Korean people and increased efforts negotiate with China to find common ground in how to prevent catastrophe from occurring in the region. 

ISSUES WITH PREVIOUS FOREIGN POLICY STRATEGIES

2. The United States has had relations with the Democratic Peoples' Republic of Korea since 1948 to various degrees of involvement in the subsequent decades. One of the chief goals of North Korean foreign policy has been the reduction or elimination of the North Korean nuclear program. This due to China's support has been nearly impossible and so due to the latest round of nuclear talks falling through North Korea stated that they would never return to the negotiation table. 

3. Attempts to aid the North Korean people have also been equally unsuccessful as the government would confiscate all aid efforts given to the people. 

A NEW STRATEGY

3. The crux of the new strategy to gain increased diplomatic leverage over the North Korean government is to instead of increasing diplomatic efforts with North Korea itself but strengthen diplomatic ties to China in order to find greater common ground in how to manage the region. 
          a. To gain greater leverage the United States should engage China in a series of talks and discuss how each would like to see the region be managed in the near future. China says it wants stability in the region and that overthrowing the Kim regime would plunge the region into chaos especially now that there is a significant chance that the North Korean government already has a nuclear warhead. 
          b. The United States must be willing to compromise a great deal to China in order to secure a more peaceful North Korea and the goals will not be as drastic as installing a democracy. If the United States and China can simply agree to put pressure on the Kim regime to reduce its human rights abuses then the US can funnel more aid to China so that the North Korean people can receive more aid form a country more "friendly" to their government.

CHALLENGES

4. The greatest challenge to this renewed focus on North Korea and increased negotiations with China over the country is simply that China is unwilling to change the status quo. As of right now it is true that China has no incentive to follow the international community and put pressure on the regime to change it's ways. That is why the State Department and the President must do all they can to make incentives for the Chinese government to become more cooperative with US goals for the area. 

WHY IS A NEW FOREIGN POLICY STRATEGY NEEDED?
5. North Korea is one of the few nations that under no circumstances can be trusted with militarized nuclear capabilities. It must not be able to have the ability to mass produce nuclear missiles with the capability of striking the United States. That is why the US needs the aid of China to cool tensions in the region. Priority one should be the nuclear disarmament of North Korea as that is a chief national security threat and in order to appease the North Koreans a friendly nation is needed at the negotiation table. The US by coming to China will boost confidence and possible cooperation of the CCP and with the added incentives that would be included in such a deal it may be possible to freeze or disarm North Korea. 

6. Thank you for your consideration of this proposal.

Bibliography
http://nationalinterest.org/feature/how-china-america-can-make-serious-north-korea-deal-17985

4 comments:

  1. Orlando I liked your post!

    I thought your approach to North Korea by using China was very good and could be possible because North Korea only respects China.

    I'm wondering though why will China agree to this as well as you discussed in section 4 of challenges. What incentives would be great enough for China to get on board with this plan? Will it be through trade? Will it be done through diplomacy and soft power or military force and sanctions?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hi Orlando,
    I also wrote about North Korea and I liked how you came up with the idea of having China get involved help us with North Korea instead of just saying we should do it on our own like I did. I think having China involved would be a great idea because as AnFei already pointed out North Korea really only respects China and definitely does not respect or even like the USA. When I was writing my memo, using China never came to my mind but I do think this is great idea even if it may be hard to convince China to help us with North Korea.
    I agree with you that the USA would need to come up with some sort of incentives for China to become more cooperative with us since right now they really have no reason to help out. You did not say the incentives we could use to get China to help in your memo, was there something specific that you had in mind? I agree that it would be a great help if China helped but did you have a backup plan in mind in case China refuses to get involved or help when it comes to North Korea?
    Overall this was a really well written memo and I found it interesting to read since you took a different mind set on yours than I did mine so it was completely different and move than just what we talked about in class. Good job Orlando.

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  3. Orlando,

    This is a very good idea of how to deal with North Koreans. Utilizing China as an ally makes a lot of sense as they are the only state that the Kims may bother listening to. Disarmament is a very good option and would increase the stability in greater Asia, especially with our allies of South Korea and Japan being within range of North Korean missiles. Neutralizing their threat is likely top priority with disarming them, and these would be best for the U.S. and our regional allies that are threatened solely by their location. Great ideas and very well written!

    ReplyDelete
  4. Hi Orlando
    This is a very well written memo. I really enjoyed reading what you have to say on this topic. I agree China is the best option for creating change with North Korea. The alliance and respect they have needs to be utilized. You have many great ideas here.

    ReplyDelete